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View Full Version : Swan Boat predictions ("Where Does The Fishing Line Flow Out To?" event)



Volarmis
07-06-2020, 04:08 AM
Since the swanboat event came around again, time to get the predictions going. :p

Volarmis
07-06-2020, 04:25 AM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/07/06/NxK.png

Tampala - Marks the racers who'll take high and low places regardless of their odds
Balsam - Marks racers who'll do worse than their odds suggestAs Tampala is a new predictor, it may be hard to tell exactly how her predictions work. For the moment, it seems she predicts x30 and x10 to take high places.
Balsam predicts x10 and x20 do do worse than their odds suggest.
This probably means that x30 will take 1st and x10 2nd.RESULTS: x30, x10, x100, x50, x20

Volarmis
07-06-2020, 10:24 PM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/07/07/NxR.png

Iwarenge - Predicts if the top 2 most popular racers (x10, x20) will break into the top 2 places
Green Bell - Correctly predicts the relative order of 3 racersIf I understood Iwarenge's prediction habits correctly, x10 and x20 will take the top places.
Green Bell predicts x10 will be in front of x20 and x20 to be in front of x30.
x10 is the most likely winner.RESULTS: x10, x20, x50, x30, x100

Volarmis
07-07-2020, 10:26 PM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/07/08/NxQ.png

Karin - Marks 3 racers out of the top 4
Di Yu - Compares the odds to the place the racer will take in the end. Triangle means a one place difference, circle means a two place difference, double circle means at least a three place differenceAccording to Karin, x30, x20 and x100 all have a chance to win.
According to Di Yu:
x30 - 1st, because x50 is 5th
x10 - 2nd
x20 - 4th
x100 - 3rd
x50 - 5thRESULTS: x30, x10, x100, x20, x50

Volarmis
07-08-2020, 10:24 PM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/07/09/Nxv.png

Burning Bush - Turns up only when x100 will enter the top 2
Calla - Predicts the results of racers who were not given a double circle or special mark from the other predictorsFrom Burning Bush we know that x100 will be somewhere in the top 2.
If Calla's marking follows standard rules, x50 will take a higher place than x30.
The win goes to either x100 or x50.RESULTS: x100, x50, x30, x20, x10

Volarmis
07-10-2020, 10:56 AM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/07/10/NxY.png

Karin - Marks 3 racers out of the top 4
Balsam - Marks racers who'll do worse than their odds suggestKarin marks x50, x10 and x30 to be the possible winners.
Balsam rules out x10 and x20 from winning.
Since we don't know who's the last of the top 4, we can only go by Balsam's predictions and bet on x50, x30 or x100.
Let's see if Nazuna actually help this time around.RESULTS: x50, x10, x30, x100, x20

Volarmis
07-10-2020, 11:23 PM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/07/11/Nxr.png

Di Yu - Compares the odds to the place the racer will take in the end - triangle means a one place difference, circle means a two place difference, double circle means at least a three place difference
Burning Bush - Turns up only when x100 will enter the top 2According to Di Yu:
x50 - 4th
x20 - 1st, because x10 is 3rd
x100 - 2nd, because x20 is 1st
x30 - 5th, because x20 is 1st
x10 - 3rd
It aligns with Burning Bush's prediction, since she says that x100 will be in the top 2.
x20 should be our winner.RESULTS: x20, x100, x10, x50, x30

Volarmis
07-11-2020, 11:39 PM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/07/12/NxS.png

Tampala - Marks the racers who'll take high and low places regardless of their odds
Green Bell - Correctly predicts the relative order of 3 racersTampala marks x10 and x30 to take the top 2 places.
Green Bell predicts x10 to take a higher place than x30.
x10 is our winner.RESULTS: x10, x30, x20, x100, x50

Volarmis
07-13-2020, 07:21 AM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/07/13/Nxo.png

Iwarenge - Predicts if the top 2 most popular racers (x10, x20) will break into the top 2 places
Calla - Predicts the results of racers who were not given a double circle or special mark from the other predictorsFrom Iwarenge, we know that the top 2 spots go to x10 and x20.
Calla predicts x10 to be higher than x20, so that's our winner.RESULTS: x10, x20, x100, x30, x50

Volarmis
07-13-2020, 10:28 PM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/07/14/Nx0.png

Karin - Marks 3 racers out of the top 4
Di Yu - Compares the odds to the place the racer will take in the end - triangle means a one place difference, circle means a two place difference, double circle means at least a three place differenceKarin predicts x50, x30 and x100 will be in the top 4.
According to Di Yu:
x50 - 2nd
x30 - 1st, because x10 is 5th
x10 - 5th, because x100 is 4th
x100 - 4th
x20 - 3rd, because x30 is 1stRESULTS: x30, x50, x20, x100, x10

Volarmis
07-15-2020, 12:31 AM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/07/15/NjN.png

Burning Bush - Turns up only when x100 will enter the top 2
Tampala - Marks the racers who'll take high and low places regardless of their oddsFrom Burning Bush's prediction we know x100 has a chance to win.
Tampala agrees, marking x10 as the one who'll take the other place in the top 2.
Either x10 or x100 is our winner this time.RESULTS: x100, x10, x50, x20, x30

Volarmis
07-15-2020, 10:36 PM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/07/16/NjI.png

Iwarenge - Predicts if the top 2 most popular racers (x10, x20) will break into the top 2 places
Balsam - Marks racers who'll do worse than their odds suggestIf I'm reading this right, Iwarenge says that only x10 will make it to the top 2.
Balsam marks x10 and x20 - these racers won't take the first spot.
Anyone of the remaining racer can win this one.RESULTS: x30, x10, x20, x50, x100

Volarmis
07-16-2020, 10:31 PM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/07/17/Njk.png

Calla - Predicts the results of racers who were not given a double circle or special mark from the other predictors
Green Bell - Correctly predicts the relative order of 3 racersGreen Bell marked x20 before x10 before x30, making x20 a possible winner.
Calla marked x30 and x10 and since those predictions overlap, both of them won't be winning the race for sure.
The race will probably go to x20, but there are no rules denying x100 and x50 from winning.RESULTS: x20, x30, x10, x100, x50

Volarmis
07-17-2020, 10:26 PM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/07/18/NjS.png

Iwarenge - Predicts if the top 2 most popular racers (x10, x20) will break into the top 2 places
Balsam - Marks racers who'll do worse than their odds suggestIwarenge predicts x20 will be in the top 2.
Balsam says that neither x30 nor x10 will win.
The race can go to x20, x100 or x50.RESULTS: x100, x20, x10, x50, x30

Volarmis
07-18-2020, 11:21 PM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/07/19/Nj7.png

Tampala - Marks the racers who'll take high and low places regardless of their odds
Green Bell - Correctly predicts the relative order of 3 racersTampala marked x100 and x50 to take the top 2 places.
Green Bell marked all the other racers, so her prediction won't help in determining the winner.
The victory goes to either of Tampala's predicted racers.RESULTS: x50, x100, x20, x10, x30

Myers
07-20-2020, 12:57 PM
Thank you once again for these :grin:.

Volarmis
07-20-2020, 02:01 PM
Not a problem, I'm glad they're of use. :p

phob
07-25-2022, 09:47 PM
Yes, thanks for these.
This event is running on johren right now. Next to last swan boat event:sad:

Myers
07-28-2022, 07:27 PM
Yes, thanks for these.
This event is running on johren right now. Next to last swan boat event:sad:

Apparently during the livestream, devs said they're planning on bringing back Swan Boat events sometime in the future.