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View Full Version : Swan Boat predictions ("The festival of sweets and the gentle song" event)



Volarmis
10-12-2020, 04:07 AM
It's that time again. :p
Oh, and Halloween too.

Volarmis
10-12-2020, 04:15 AM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/10/12/NiD.png

Streptocarpus - Predicts well only in odd-numbered races
Dusty Miller - Sharp predictions concerning the situation of the 2nd and 3rd most popular racers (x20, x30)Streptocarpus seems to be redicting that x30 will take a higher place than x10 and x100 will follow.
Dusty Miller marked x30 with a double circle, meaning it will probably take the highest place.
x30 seems to be the predicted winner for Day 1.RESULTS: x30, x10, x100, x50, x20

Volarmis
10-12-2020, 10:51 PM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/10/13/Nis.png

Water Lily - Marks all the racers who will take the same place their odds suggest.
Violet Cress - Marks down the racers who are the most likely to take places 1 and 2.Both Water Lily and Violet Cress put their marks on x10, making this racer the most probable winner this time around.RESULTS: x10, x30, x50, x20, x100

Volarmis
10-13-2020, 11:14 PM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/10/14/Nic.png

Asiatic Dayflower - Makes a single mark on the racer who will do worse than the odds suggest
Iwarenge - Predicts if the top 2 most popular racers (x10, x20) will break into the top 2 placesIwarenge puts x10 and x20 in the top 2.
Asiatic Dayflower marked x10, which should mean the 2nd place in this case.
Our winner should be x20.RESULTS: x20, x10, x30, x50, x100

Volarmis
10-14-2020, 10:59 PM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/10/15/NnH.png

Snapdragon - Predicts well only in even-numbered races
Snow Drop - Often targets racers with high odds, but puts a lot of faith in racers with low oddsSnapdragon puts x20 before x30 and then x10.
Snow Drop's predicting habits seem to be a bit confusing, but it may mean she makes two predictions - one for a high odds racer and one for a low odds racer. In this case she marked x20 and x100.
x20 seems to be our winner.RESULTS: x20, x10, x30, x50, x100
It seems Snapdragon's order was mixed up a bit.
Snow Drop marked the first and last place.

Volarmis
10-15-2020, 10:48 PM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/10/16/NnI.png

Violet Cress - Marks down the racers who are the most likely to take places 1 and 2.
Dusty Miller - Sharp predictions concerning the situation of the 2nd and 3rd most popular racers (x20, x30)Violet Cress marked x50 and x30 as the top 2 racers.
Dusty Miller made a single circle mark on x30, which usually meant that this racer will take 2nd place.
I'd put my bets on x50.RESULTS: x50, x30, x100, x10, x20

kuresuta
10-16-2020, 05:44 PM
Snapdragon - Predicts well only in even-numbered races



It seems Snapdragon's order was mixed up a bit.

Looks fine to me.

Volarmis
10-16-2020, 10:17 PM
Based on the markings used, it should have been x20, x30, x10 - it was x20, x10, x30 instead.
It was an even-numbered race as far as I can tell, unless it needs to be in the title or something.

Volarmis
10-16-2020, 10:24 PM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/10/17/NnG.png

Streptocarpus - Predicts well only in odd-numbered races
Water Lily - Marks all the racers who will take the same place their odds suggestStreptocarpus predicts x100 to finish before x30 and x30 before x10.
Water Lily marked x10, x20 and x100.
The predictors' opinions are mixed - Water Lily says x10 will win, while Streptocarpus most probably hints at x100.RESULTS: x10, x20, x50, x30, x100
Forgot that it's an even-numbered race, it fits with Streptocarpus's predictions.

Volarmis
10-18-2020, 03:02 AM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/10/18/Nne.png

Iwarenge - Predicts if the top 2 most popular racers (x10, x20) will break into the top 2 places
Snow Drop - Often targets racers with high odds, but puts a lot of faith in racers with low oddsAccording to Iwarenge, neither x10 nor x20 will be in the top 2 (if I'm reading correctly).
This time Snow Drop marked two racers with a single circle mark. Last time this mark ended up in the last place.
It's a puzzle this time around. x30, x50 or x100 can win depending on what actually Snow Drop's predictions mean.RESULTS: x100, x50, x20, x30, x10
I can't really see a pattern in Snow Drop's predictions. Ideas anyone?

Volarmis
10-19-2020, 05:44 AM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/10/19/Nrm.png

Water Lily - Marks all the racers who will take the same place their odds suggest
Snapdragon - Predicts well only in even-numbered racesAccording to Water Lily, x30 will be 3rd and x50 4th. x10 also won't take the top.
It's an even day race, so Snapdragon's predictions should be accurate. She predicts x100 to be higher than x10 and then higher than x30.
The predictions seem to complete each other well, so x100 should win.RESULTS: x100, x10, x30, x50, x20

Volarmis
10-19-2020, 10:22 PM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/10/20/Nrz.png

Iwarenge - Predicts if the top 2 most popular racers (x10, x20) will break into the top 2 places
Dusty Miller - Sharp predictions concerning the situation of the 2nd and 3rd most popular racers (x20, x30)Iwarenge predicts x10 and x20 to be in the top 2.
According to Dusty Miller, x20 will be two places above x30 and should probably win.
x20 is a solid bet, followed by x10 for the cautious.RESULTS: x20, x10, x30, x100, x50

Volarmis
10-20-2020, 11:06 PM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/10/21/NSR.png

Asiatic Dayflower - Makes a single mark on the racer who will do worse than the odds suggest
Violet Cress - Marks down the racers who are the most likely to take places 1 and 2Asiatic Dayflower predicts that x30 will not win.
Violet Cress nominates x20 or x10 to win and that's all we have to work with.RESULTS: x20, x10, x50, x30, x100

kuresuta
10-21-2020, 07:56 AM
How often do same odds win in a row? Maybe that's a way to weed some possibilities out, as x20 just won.

Volarmis
10-21-2020, 01:22 PM
How often do same odds win in a row? Maybe that's a way to weed some possibilities out, as x20 just won.

As far as I know, there are no rules for that, but one would have to go through the last few race result topics.

Volarmis
10-21-2020, 11:54 PM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/10/22/NSY.png

Water Lily - Marks all the racers who will take the same place their odds suggest
Streptocarpus - Predicts well only in odd-numbered racesThey couldn't have made this one any more straightforward.
x10 wins.RESULTS: x10, x20, x30, x50, x100

Volarmis
10-22-2020, 10:03 PM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/10/23/NS5.png

Snapdragon - Predicts well only in even-numbered races
Dusty Miller - Sharp predictions concerning the situation of the 2nd and 3rd most popular racers (x20, x30)Snapdragon predicts x10 will win, followed by x20 and then x30.
It matches Dusty Miller's prediction - she says x20 will be 2nd and x30 3rd.
x10 should win once again.RESULTS: x10, x20, x30, x50, x100

Volarmis
10-23-2020, 10:03 PM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/10/24/NSM.png

Snow Drop - Often targets racers with high odds, but puts a lot of faith in racers with low odds
Asiatic Dayflower - Makes a single mark on the racer who will do worse than the odds suggestThe last time Snow Drop marked x50 and x100 with a single circle, these racers took the top 2 spots.
Asiatic Dayflower eliminated x20 as the winner.
Either x50 or x100 then, I guess. The problem is that nothing really eliminates the others from winning.RESULTS: x100, x50, x30, x10, x20

Volarmis
10-24-2020, 11:11 PM
https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2020/10/25/NUd.png

Iwarenge - Predicts if the top 2 most popular racers (x10, x20) will break into the top 2 places
Violet Cress - Marks down the racers who are the most likely to take places 1 and 2According to Iwarenge x20 will be in the top 2, but x10 will not.
According to Violet Cress, x20 and x10 will be in the top 2.
A bit of a contradiction this time around. Still, x20 seems to be the best bet we have.RESULTS: x20, x50, x10, x100, x30