Quote Originally Posted by soviras View Post
Paranoia is not a good reason to assume the stupid ideas are true
Sorry, but neither me, nor DShanks assumed anything, it was just a calculation based on some info. If info is incorrect then calculation would be incorrect too.

Thanatos provided data that was correct, DShanks made a stupid conclusion because he wasn't able to think things through and ignored information.
ThanatosX only said that Santa doubles his stats after every win. Dshanks said that based on this 15th level will have 100M stats. If someone says to you that his monthly earnings are $1,000 you won't be stupid if you calculate that this person's yearly earnings are $12,000. That's just common logic and math and not an assumption. If info from ThanatosX is correct, then calculation based on this info is correct and results of those calculations are correct, if info is incorrect then calculation would still be correct just based on wrong info, so will give incorrect results. If you are saying that ThanatosX' info is correct but DShanks results are wrong, then you are logically contradicting yourself.

and this game isn't a plain cashgrab unlike the DMM games and anything with marvel in its name.
Sorry, but I don't see this. Do you know much cash is required to reach the final girl by now? How much cash is required to upgrade her to 5M stats? The required spending are hidden in this game compared to Marvel. I played MPQ game without paying anything and was able to get every character. A little later than whales, that would get them right after release, but still, everything there was accessible for free, you just needed to play the game. Here I can't imagine yet how long it will take to reach final girl. But skill requirements already are really high - level 34->35 skill requires 8 days, last girl requires level 49 skill and each increase almost doubles the requirement. So 14 levels means 8000x8 days? I will surely need a lot of multipliers.

and go for conclusions that conflict with everything this game has shown so far.
What exactly this game showed that make you believe that developers can't do that? I see a large wall after completing Pantress. I see that they made cost for time warp increase after you buy some - that's usually a sign of bad marketing, the more you buy, the more cash you need to buy next one and you are already invested in a game, so you have to spend that. I see >$50 price for 1000 gems. I see a girl being sold for >$50 and you can't get her just by playing. You can't even reach all gifts by playing in a reasonable time. So there are a lot of things that show that devs intend to have a lot of content in this game restricted to whales.

How do I apply common sense? By comparing all evidence we have available and the past behavior of the developers to determine the most likely scenario.
I provided some evidence that shows that developers do restrict things to whales, so common sense would say that discussed situation is possible. If some things are restricted from ftp players, then we can safely assume that some things will be restricted from players who pay up to $10 only, some things will be restricted from players who pay up to $100 only, etc. It is a first event like this so devs can't estimate yet how much largest whale can spend, so they may make requirements up to $10,000 just in case. Second event will have better values because there would be a basis to do estimation already.

How do I know the stats of the number one whale? Because they are publicly visible for all to see.
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Ashes is the games number one whale, we can see his stats on the ingame leaderboards, the one that's visible to everyone. If the event girl stats go above someones main girl, you can see the event girl listed as their best. It's easy to see that none of the people with the max fame required more than 1 million to get through the event, and that has been visible for a while now.
Ok, I didn't know that Mistlehoe would appear on leaderboard as I thought that it was for challenge only, so event girl would be excluded from it. This means that no one has a girl with higher than 5M stats yet, I agree. But do we know if whales actually finished the event already or did they just stop spending?

How do I know it was a limited scope? Because the provided data only covered a part of the whole picture, and thus it isn't representative of the whole picture. It only shows the initial situation, and nothing beyond that.
What data are you talking about? There was no data at all, it was just a phrase "Santa doubles his stats each time you win.". That's all. Unless you know more story before that phrase. If it was something like "Based on first 3 battles Santa doubles his stats each time you win" I would agree with you, but there was no such thing. Well, actually later ThanatosX did mention that he made an estimate based on 4/5 outfits from free training so now we know that this theory is correct for first five levels, but have no proof that it is correct after that. But we didn't know this in few days when it was just posted.

DShanks did make an assumption, a very stupid one at that.
He didn't. He made a calculation, not an assumption.

I am currently seeing requirements for level 5 they do show that first 5 levels follow this theory. Also I agree with ThanatosX that it actually does not matter how stats behave after level 5 as they are not reachable for free to play players anyway and I am also playing as ftp.

Just in case you still miss it, I'll repeat my position: I don't blindly believe that discussed theory (Santa doubling his stats each level) is correct for later levels. I can't believe it until we have proof, for example, whales posting all stats on a wiki or just info that they already finished the event or something. But I also don't see that it is not possible that this theory is true, a lot of things that we see now show that it is possible. And no matter if theory is true or not this does not make DShanks calculations incorrect or stupid, they were based on this theory and only mean that if theory is true, then results of those calculations are also true. If it happens that theory is wrong, then calculations will still be correct, but results will be wrong because they were based on wrong theory. So there is no reason to blame a person who did calculations for what he did, you can just say that you don't agree with the theory and think that results are incorrect and that's enough. No one will argue with you based on that.