Thread: [EVENT 106] Turning the Tables! The Great Gamble on the Water (2/18/2019 to 3/4/2019)

can't remember who I betted on LOL

think I didn't bet on green haired chan

oh well

Originally Posted by Myers

Thank you for the analysis Volarmis . As for the new girls...

I'd roll gacha for her, but I wanna save my Flower Gems for a six star I may want really badly in the future.

same, went all out to get Geraniumbooby twice

Violet Cress - Marks down the racers who are the most likely to take places 1 and 2.
Water Lily - Marks down the racers who's place and odds align.
Nazuna - Sometimes predicts correctly, sometimes not.

Seems to be another straightforward one.
Violet Cress says that x10 and x50 will both have a place in the top 2.
Water Lily says that x10 will take the 1st place and x30 will take the 3rd place.
Nazuna left her marks on x50, then x10, then x100 - she did chose x10 as one of the options but since she can be wrong, Water Lily's prediction is more credible.

I'd be surprised if anyone else than x10 wins this one. For those who are still unsure, bet also on x50 but I doubt that will be 1st place.


RESULTS: x10, x50, x30, x100, x20

Pretty much spot on.

Di Yu - Compares the odds to the place the racer will take in the end. Triangle means a one place difference, circle means a two place difference, double circle means a three place difference (or more if the wiki is to be trusted, but I'm not sure that's logically possible).
Violet Cress - Marks down the racers who are the most likely to take places 1 and 2.
Nazuna - Sometimes predicts correctly, sometimes not.

According to Di Yu, the final results will look like this:
x30 - 3rd
x20 - 1st (since 3rd is already taken)
x100 - 2nd
x50 - 5th (since x10 can only be in 4th)
x10 - 4th
Violet Cress confirms that, marking x20 and x100 to be in the top 2.
This time, Nazuna did not mark the predicted victor, so if someone is feeling unsure, the 2nd best pick is x100.

If no surprises happen, x20 should take the 1st place.


RESULTS: x20, x100, x30, x10, x50

Pretty much how Di Yu predicted.

cool did it

think i should save for better stuf

Karin - Depending on the translation she either marks the top 3 places or she marks 3 racers out of the top 4.
Green Bell - Correctly predicts the relative order of 3 racers.
Nazuna - Sometimes predicts correctly, sometimes not.

This is the first one in this event where things don't look so easy.
Karin predicts that x10, x100 and x50 will be in the top 3 (or top 4).
Green Bell marks x10 to be above x20 and x30, but we still don't know the relative order to x50 and x100, which makes things complicated.
Nazuna marks x50, then x30, then x100. Since we don't know if Green Bell's top pick will take the 1st place, we'll need to take her predictions into account as well. Too bad she's not that reliable with them.

Looks like either x10 or x50 have the highest chance to win, though with Nazuna's predictions, x100 should be bet on as well, just in case.


RESULTS: x100, x10, x50, x20, x30

Yup, a great example of what happens when we leave it to Nazuna. Based on this however I noticed a few more rules to Nazuna's predictions, though only based on the races in this event, so nothing confirmed yet.

Di Yu - Compares the odds to the place the racer will take in the end. Triangle means a one place difference, circle means a two place difference, double circle means at least a three place difference.
Colchicum - Tends to pick out racers who won't do so good (won't be in the top 2).
Nazuna - Based on the observations of the current event's results: two out of the three racers she marks (no matter the mark) will be in the top 3 and the other will not.

A few things got clearer this time around about Di Yu and Nazuna's predictions, though we'll see if it's true based on this race's results.
Di Yu predicts like this:
x100 - 2nd, since x30 is 1st
x30 - 1st, since x10 is 5th
x50 - 3rd, since x10 is 5th
x10 - 5th, since x20 is 4th - here is where the previous understanding would be wrong
x20 - 4th
Colchicum marked x50 and x10, which agrees with Di Yu's prediction.
Nazuna marked x10, then x100, then x30. So far, this fits my observations about her predicting habits.

It's pretty safe to say that x30 will win. The only other one that has a chance should be x100.


RESULTS: x30, x100, x50, x20, x10

The results confirm the updated understanding of Di Yu and Nazuna's predicting habits.

hmm...

10char