Thread: [EVENT 106] Turning the Tables! The Great Gamble on the Water (2/18/2019 to 3/4/2019)

Karin - Depending on the translation she either marks the top 3 places or she marks 3 racers out of the top 4.
Green Bell - Correctly predicts the relative order of 3 racers.
Nazuna - Sometimes predicts correctly, sometimes not.

This is the first one in this event where things don't look so easy.
Karin predicts that x10, x100 and x50 will be in the top 3 (or top 4).
Green Bell marks x10 to be above x20 and x30, but we still don't know the relative order to x50 and x100, which makes things complicated.
Nazuna marks x50, then x30, then x100. Since we don't know if Green Bell's top pick will take the 1st place, we'll need to take her predictions into account as well. Too bad she's not that reliable with them.

Looks like either x10 or x50 have the highest chance to win, though with Nazuna's predictions, x100 should be bet on as well, just in case.


RESULTS: x100, x10, x50, x20, x30

Yup, a great example of what happens when we leave it to Nazuna. Based on this however I noticed a few more rules to Nazuna's predictions, though only based on the races in this event, so nothing confirmed yet.

Di Yu - Compares the odds to the place the racer will take in the end. Triangle means a one place difference, circle means a two place difference, double circle means at least a three place difference.
Colchicum - Tends to pick out racers who won't do so good (won't be in the top 2).
Nazuna - Based on the observations of the current event's results: two out of the three racers she marks (no matter the mark) will be in the top 3 and the other will not.

A few things got clearer this time around about Di Yu and Nazuna's predictions, though we'll see if it's true based on this race's results.
Di Yu predicts like this:
x100 - 2nd, since x30 is 1st
x30 - 1st, since x10 is 5th
x50 - 3rd, since x10 is 5th
x10 - 5th, since x20 is 4th - here is where the previous understanding would be wrong
x20 - 4th
Colchicum marked x50 and x10, which agrees with Di Yu's prediction.
Nazuna marked x10, then x100, then x30. So far, this fits my observations about her predicting habits.

It's pretty safe to say that x30 will win. The only other one that has a chance should be x100.


RESULTS: x30, x100, x50, x20, x10

The results confirm the updated understanding of Di Yu and Nazuna's predicting habits.

hmm...

10char

Lobelia - Puts a whip mark on the racers that will be in the lower places.
Water Lily - Marks down the racers who's place and odds align.
Nazuna - Two out of the three racers she marks (no matter the mark) will be in the top 3 and the other will not.

->Open Spoiler<-

Lobelia marked x100 and x30, so neither of them will be 1st.
Water Lily marked x20, so this racer will take the 2nd place.
Nazuna marked x10, x100 and x50. x100 will probably be outside the top 3, as this racer was marked by Lobelia earlier. x10 was not marked by Water Lily, so there's a good chance x10 will be 3rd.

It seems x50 will win this one.

RESULTS: x50, x20, x10, x100, x30

It's possible that Lobelia will always mark the 2 last places based on the results up till now.

Suiren not marking x10 led me to believe that it won't be matching its placement (1st), so I went with x50.

Originally Posted by Kurenai

Suiren not marking x10 led me to believe that it won't be matching its placement (1st), so I went with x50.

Yup, I totally missed that point.
Making corrections.

Does the racer info page beneath the predictions say anything useful?