[EVENT 113] Happy Mushroom Stew (5/27/2019 TO 6/10/2019)

https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2019/06/02/ylr.png

Di Yu - Compares the odds to the place the racer will take in the end. Triangle means a one place difference, circle means a two place difference, double circle means at least a three place difference.
Hyacinth - Reliable predictions for racers with the highest odds.
Nazuna - At least two out of the three racers she marks will be in the top 3.

->Open Spoiler<-

According to Di Yu:
x100 - 2nd
x30 - 3rd
x50 - 1st
x20 - 4th
x10 - 5th
This time, Hyacinth's prediction matches that, saying x50 will be first, then x100.
I'll write down Nazuna's predictions from now on if they actually help with deciding the winner, as they rarely do. This time it seems pretty straightforward.

RESULTS: x50, x100, x30, x20, x10

https://i.imgur.com/mzbgDnE.png

shit im safe
aint miss special shit

https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2019/06/03/ylb.png

Water Lily - Marks all the racers who will take the same place their odds suggest.
Kale - Somehow, almost always predicts wrong.
Nazuna - At least two out of the three racers she marks will be in the top 3.

->Open Spoiler<-

Pretty easy one this time as well.
Water Lily marked x10, x20 and x30, making them 1st, 2nd and 3rd.
Kale marks x30 and the rest as being in the end.

RESULTS: x10, x20, x30, x100, x50

https://i.ibb.co/hXsBrK6/Przechwytywanie.png

Physostegia - Marks the racers who will take high places.
Dusty Miller - Sharp predictions concerning the situation of the 2nd and 3rd most popular racers (x20, x30).
Nazuna - At least two out of the three racers she marks will be in the top 3.

->Open Spoiler<-

Physostegia predicts x30 will take a high place.
Dusty Miller agrees, marking x30 with a double circle. This would mean x30 will be first, taking account her previous predictions this event.

RESULTS: x30, x10, x50, x100, x20

https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2019/06/05/yoP.png

Peach - Marks all the racers from odds x20-x100, who'll end up in a higher place than their odds say.
Di Yu - Compares the odds to the place the racer will take in the end. Triangle means a one place difference, circle means a two place difference, double circle means at least a three place difference.
Nazuna - At least two out of the three racers she marks will be in the top 3.

->Open Spoiler<-

According to Di Yu:
x20 - 1st, since x100 is 3rd
x10 - 4th, since x30 is 5th
x100 - 3rd
x30 - 5th, because x20 is 1st
x50 - 2nd
Peach confirms the winner, leaving her mark on x20.

RESULTS: x20, x50, x100, x10, x30

https://i.harem-battle.club/images/2019/06/06/yoD.png

Hyacinth - Reliable predictions for racers with the highest odds.
Water Lily - Marks all the racers who will take the same place their odds suggest.
Nazuna - At least two out of the three racers she marks will be in the top 3.

->Open Spoiler<-

Not a lot of information here.
Hyacinth predicts x50 will take a higher place than x100, presumably 1st.
Water Lily eliminates x20 (as 2nd) and x10 from winning.
EDIT: Of course, considering Hyacinth it may be the other way around, so both of her marks have a chance to win.
x30 will not win because if so, Nazuna's prediction would be off, with only one of her marks in the top 3.
Thanks for pointing it out. :)

RESULTS: x50, x20, x10, x100, x30

It seems the results suggest that Hyacinth's predictions hit the mark unless something directly contradicts them.

The Water Lily/Nazuna combo should eliminate 30 because Nazuna would only have one of the top three if it won. Day 5 showed that Hyacinth isn't reliable so bet on both 50 and 100.


Also, Day 2 & 6 had Peach's hearts on boats whose placements matched their odds.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Unregistered

The Water Lily/Nazuna combo should eliminate 30 because Nazuna would only have one of the top three if it won. Day 5 showed that Hyacinth isn't reliable so bet on both 50 and 100.


Also, Day 2 & 6 had Peach's hearts on boats whose placements matched their odds.

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Thanks for noticing the Water Lily + Nazuna combination, I was too focused on who would win rather than who doesn't have a chance to win.
I'll fix it in the predictions.

True, Hyacinth's predictions aren't really reliable and you can also mark her other racer just ot be sure. Maybe the mark she gives doesn't suggest the order or maybe she's unreliable only if something contradicts her, I can't say right now.

Thanks for pointing out the thing about Peach's predictions. I forgot the specific Japanese word used in her description doesn't necessarily mean "more than", but may also mean "no less than". Looking back at the results it becomes obvious. :)

Seeing as Hyacinth has bet 50, 100 every time, maybe her shtick is showing up only when one of those two will win.

https://i.imgur.com/kWZERwT.png

too tired to bet all da way LOL