Thread: [EVENT 113] Happy Mushroom Stew (5/27/2019 TO 6/10/2019)

The Water Lily/Nazuna combo should eliminate 30 because Nazuna would only have one of the top three if it won. Day 5 showed that Hyacinth isn't reliable so bet on both 50 and 100.


Also, Day 2 & 6 had Peach's hearts on boats whose placements matched their odds.

Originally Posted by Unregistered

The Water Lily/Nazuna combo should eliminate 30 because Nazuna would only have one of the top three if it won. Day 5 showed that Hyacinth isn't reliable so bet on both 50 and 100.


Also, Day 2 & 6 had Peach's hearts on boats whose placements matched their odds.

Thanks for noticing the Water Lily + Nazuna combination, I was too focused on who would win rather than who doesn't have a chance to win.
I'll fix it in the predictions.

True, Hyacinth's predictions aren't really reliable and you can also mark her other racer just ot be sure. Maybe the mark she gives doesn't suggest the order or maybe she's unreliable only if something contradicts her, I can't say right now.

Thanks for pointing out the thing about Peach's predictions. I forgot the specific Japanese word used in her description doesn't necessarily mean "more than", but may also mean "no less than". Looking back at the results it becomes obvious.

Seeing as Hyacinth has bet 50, 100 every time, maybe her shtick is showing up only when one of those two will win.

too tired to bet all da way LOL

Kale - Somehow, almost always predicts wrong.
Dusty Miller - Sharp predictions concerning the situation of the 2nd and 3rd most popular racers (x20, x30).
Nazuna - At least two out of the three racers she marks will be in the top 3.

->Open Spoiler<-

Kale predicts x50, x100 and x10 to take the last three places.
Dusty Miller marks the remaining racers, making them take the top 2. x20 got the double circle, so that's possibly our winner.

RESULTS: x20, x30, x50, x10, x100

Di Yu - Compares the odds to the place the racer will take in the end. Triangle means a one place difference, circle means a two place difference, double circle means at least a three place difference.
Peach - Marks all the racers from odds x20-x100, who'll end up in a higher place than their odds say.
Nazuna - At least two out of the three racers she marks will be in the top 3.

->Open Spoiler<-

According to Di Yu:
x100 - 3rd
x50 - 4th
x10 - 5th, since x50 is 4th
x30 - 1st
x20 - 2nd
Peach's prediction checks out too, as x10 takes 5th and everyone else goes at least 1 place up.

RESULTS: x30, x20, x100, x50, x10

Hyacinth - Reliable predictions for racers with the highest odds.
Physostegia - Marks the racers who will take high places.
Nazuna - At least two out of the three racers she marks will be in the top 3.

->Open Spoiler<-

According to my current understanding, Hyacinth is predicting x100 to take the top spot. Since nothing contradicts her, that may be the case.
Physostegia marked x10, making this racer end up in a high place, but not necessarily in 1st, as the previous races proved.
On a sidenote, x50 or x30 will probably be in the top 3, since Nazuna did not mark x100.

WINNER: x100
(I didn't write down the results on time)