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  1. #1

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    Swan Boat predictions ("Tea Party in Wonderland" event)

    Since HungryHunter went MIA on us, it's time to make a separate thread for Swan Boat predictions.
    I'll try to make one for each of these events as they come, since it's arguably my favorite type right now.
    Last edited by Volarmis; 07-06-2020 at 04:04 AM.
    Name: Volarmis
    DMM ID: 317568967

  2. #2

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    Day 1



    Plumed Cockscomb - Her predictions are somehow always a miss.
    Physostegia - Marks the racers who will take high places.
    Nazuna - Predicts randomly.

    Plumed Cockscomb eliminates x20 and x100.
    Since only Physostegia's prediction remains as a clue, the race will probably go to x30.

    RESULTS: x30, x10, x50, x20, x100

    It's possible Plumed Cockscomb's predictions show who will take the last two places.
    Last edited by Volarmis; 03-16-2020 at 10:27 PM.
    Name: Volarmis
    DMM ID: 317568967

  3. #3

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    Day 2



    Dusty Miller - Sharp predictions concerning the situation of the 2nd and 3rd most popular racers (x20, x30).
    Peach - Marks all the racers from odds x20-x100, who'll end up in the same or higher place than their odds say.

    Dusty Miller predicts x20 to win.
    According to Peach, only x100 and x20 will take the same or higher place than their odds show, exluding x10.
    Looking back through older results, each time Dusty Miller marked someone with a double circle, that racer won, so x20 is our winner.

    RESULTS: x20, x100, x10, x30, x50
    Last edited by Volarmis; 03-17-2020 at 10:50 PM.
    Name: Volarmis
    DMM ID: 317568967

  4. #4

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    Day 3



    Hare's Ear - Marks when the place determined initially by the odds goes from even to odd (double circle) and odd to even (circle).
    Kayana - Marks those among the top 2 popular racers (x10, x20) if they take a place lower than their odds suggest.

    According to Hare's Ear, the racer that will take odd places in the end are: x10, x30 and x50.
    According to Kayana, x20 will take a lower spot than their odds.
    Since Kayana did not mark x10, it should be the winner.

    RESULTS: x10, x100, x30, x20, x50
    Last edited by Volarmis; 03-18-2020 at 09:33 PM.
    Name: Volarmis
    DMM ID: 317568967

  5. #5

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    Day 4



    Plumed Cockscomb - Her predictions are somehow always a miss.
    Lacquer Tree - Predicts the results of racers who were not given any attention from the other predictors.

    Plumed Cockscomb eliminates x20 and x30 from winning.
    Lacquer Tree predicts that x100 will take a higher place than x50 (probably, since we don't have any records of her voting habits).
    Since Nazuna marked x10, Lacquer Tree made no prediction for the racer, so I'd say the most possible winner is x100, with x10 as the backup.

    RESULTS: x100, x50, x20, x30, x10
    Last edited by Volarmis; 03-19-2020 at 10:28 PM.
    Name: Volarmis
    DMM ID: 317568967

  6. #6

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    Day 5



    Physostegia - Marks the racers who will take high places.
    Peach - Marks all the racers from odds x20-x100, who'll end up in a higher or the same place their odds say.

    Physostegia marked x50 as the possible winner.
    Peach is saying only x50 and x100 will do better than their odds.
    Considering the two predictions, x50 is most likely to win.

    RESULTS: x50, x10, x20, x100, x30
    Last edited by Volarmis; 03-20-2020 at 10:22 PM.
    Name: Volarmis
    DMM ID: 317568967

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