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  1. #1

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    Swan Boat predictions ("Tea Party in Wonderland" event)

    Since HungryHunter went MIA on us, it's time to make a separate thread for Swan Boat predictions.
    I'll try to make one for each of these events as they come, since it's arguably my favorite type right now.
    Last edited by Volarmis; 07-06-2020 at 05:04 AM.
    Name: Volarmis
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  2. #2

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    Day 1



    Plumed Cockscomb - Her predictions are somehow always a miss.
    Physostegia - Marks the racers who will take high places.
    Nazuna - Predicts randomly.

    Plumed Cockscomb eliminates x20 and x100.
    Since only Physostegia's prediction remains as a clue, the race will probably go to x30.

    RESULTS: x30, x10, x50, x20, x100

    It's possible Plumed Cockscomb's predictions show who will take the last two places.
    Last edited by Volarmis; 03-16-2020 at 11:27 PM.
    Name: Volarmis
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  3. #3

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    Day 2



    Dusty Miller - Sharp predictions concerning the situation of the 2nd and 3rd most popular racers (x20, x30).
    Peach - Marks all the racers from odds x20-x100, who'll end up in the same or higher place than their odds say.

    Dusty Miller predicts x20 to win.
    According to Peach, only x100 and x20 will take the same or higher place than their odds show, exluding x10.
    Looking back through older results, each time Dusty Miller marked someone with a double circle, that racer won, so x20 is our winner.

    RESULTS: x20, x100, x10, x30, x50
    Last edited by Volarmis; 03-17-2020 at 11:50 PM.
    Name: Volarmis
    DMM ID: 317568967

  4. #4

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    Day 3



    Hare's Ear - Marks when the place determined initially by the odds goes from even to odd (double circle) and odd to even (circle).
    Kayana - Marks those among the top 2 popular racers (x10, x20) if they take a place lower than their odds suggest.

    According to Hare's Ear, the racer that will take odd places in the end are: x10, x30 and x50.
    According to Kayana, x20 will take a lower spot than their odds.
    Since Kayana did not mark x10, it should be the winner.

    RESULTS: x10, x100, x30, x20, x50
    Last edited by Volarmis; 03-18-2020 at 10:33 PM.
    Name: Volarmis
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  5. #5

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    Day 4



    Plumed Cockscomb - Her predictions are somehow always a miss.
    Lacquer Tree - Predicts the results of racers who were not given any attention from the other predictors.

    Plumed Cockscomb eliminates x20 and x30 from winning.
    Lacquer Tree predicts that x100 will take a higher place than x50 (probably, since we don't have any records of her voting habits).
    Since Nazuna marked x10, Lacquer Tree made no prediction for the racer, so I'd say the most possible winner is x100, with x10 as the backup.

    RESULTS: x100, x50, x20, x30, x10
    Last edited by Volarmis; 03-19-2020 at 11:28 PM.
    Name: Volarmis
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  6. #6

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    Day 5



    Physostegia - Marks the racers who will take high places.
    Peach - Marks all the racers from odds x20-x100, who'll end up in a higher or the same place their odds say.

    Physostegia marked x50 as the possible winner.
    Peach is saying only x50 and x100 will do better than their odds.
    Considering the two predictions, x50 is most likely to win.

    RESULTS: x50, x10, x20, x100, x30
    Last edited by Volarmis; 03-20-2020 at 11:22 PM.
    Name: Volarmis
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  7. #7

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    Day 6



    Kayana - Marks those among the top 2 popular racers (x10, x20) if they take a place lower than their odds suggest.
    Dusty Miller - Sharp predictions concerning the situation of the 2nd and 3rd most popular racers (x20, x30).

    Kayana marked only x20, making x10 once again a solid prediction for 1st.
    Dusty Miller predicts x30 to be in front of x20, though she did not use the double circle mark, so probably x30 will be 2nd and x20 3rd.

    RESULTS: x10, x30, x20, x50, x100
    Last edited by Volarmis; 03-22-2020 at 12:20 AM.
    Name: Volarmis
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  8. #8

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    Day 7



    Lacquer Tree - Predicts the results of racers who were not given any attention from the other predictors.
    Plumed Cockscomb - Her predictions are somehow always a miss.

    Plumed Cockscomb eliminates x10 and x20 from winning.
    Lacquer Tree predicts x50 to be in front of x30, but she didn't predict anything about x100, who was marked by Nazuna.
    The race will go either to x50 or x100.

    RESULTS: x50, x100, x10, x20, x30
    Last edited by Volarmis; 03-23-2020 at 06:06 AM.
    Name: Volarmis
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  9. #9

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    Day 8



    Peach - Marks all the racers from odds x20-x100, who'll end up in a higher or the same place their odds say.
    Hare's Ear - Marks when the place determined initially by the odds goes from even to odd (double circle) and odd to even (circle).

    According to Peach, x100, x30 and x50 will take a higher place or keep their odds-dictated one (excluding x10).
    According to Hare's Ear, x20 will take an odd-numbered place and x100 an even-numbered one.
    x20 won't win, because it wasn't marked by Peach. x50 and x100 won't win, because they are taking even-numbered places.
    The race will go either to x10 or x30.

    RESULTS: x30, x100, x10, x50, x20
    Last edited by Volarmis; 03-23-2020 at 11:37 PM.
    Name: Volarmis
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  10. #10

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    Day 9



    Dusty Miller - Sharp predictions concerning the situation of the 2nd and 3rd most popular racers (x20, x30).
    Physostegia - Marks the racers who will take high places.

    Dusty Miller double-circled x20, while Physostegia also marked this racer, making this an easy pick as the winner.

    RESULTS: x20, x30, x50, x10, x100
    Last edited by Volarmis; 03-24-2020 at 11:03 PM.
    Name: Volarmis
    DMM ID: 317568967

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