One race isn't enough to prove it'll follow DMM's results, but HungryHunter posted day two above as Alstro.
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Yay after the fiasco on the last Swan Boat race this one finally looks "promising". Not sure if Nutaku will be an ass and change some of the results, this first one not only had Baccara winning, but all the participants followed the same position they had in DMM.
Let's hope.
The second day all bets Alstomerry.:cool:
Nazuna's hints seem to favour Connie (4) and Hollyhock (1).
Guess I'll put some on Alstro as well, just in case, but day two seems to be interesting.
just for the HCB wiki
Nutaku: 1st Results
https://i.imgur.com/CCeEFeFm.jpg
DMM: 2nd Results
DMM: 3rd Results
Edit:
Nazuna's "Predictions" for Race 2 (Nutaku) just for teh sake recording everything LOL
While I expect that they can work to make everything different. I feel like it would be wise for them to just say screw it and just follow dmm. It would mean they can not waste time on mixing everything around, and spend more time on ensuring their players do not riot from the lack of content we are supposed to have.
Every second spent on changing the event up, is a second not spent on fixing dodge and adding new blooms.
I honestly don't believe that the order is set in stone, because you're right: it wouldn't be even remotely a good use for development time to spend on manually altering the race results since the worst case scenario is players can clear the event shop a few days early. It makes far more sense that the routine that handles the race is simply based on RNG with weighted elements.
I suppose the real question is this: has DMM had reissued swan race events? If so, were those results the same? If yes, then the results are manually set and the Nutaku devs are wasting their time. If no, then the determination is most likely RNG.