Flower Knight Commander | IGN: Ampchan | FKGID: 300316473 | Discord Name: Ampchan
Total Power: 658K | 41/52 Current Allies | Level 165 | FKG Discord Channel
Hmm, a bit surprised it's taking this long for the prize to come through. The last one came in almost immediately and even without a confirmation PM, still checking my inboxes for them.
Day 4.5 and I can confirm that my package has been recieved.
I was getting worried after passing the halfway mark for the expiration date
The expiration is only if you didn't give me your info by that time.
Damn, with my Luck my time to win will come either when I run out of credits, or this whole thing will be shut down.
What you need to kill as a sacrifice to get luck like all those people who won 2 to 4 times already?
Maybe rofl make it that anyone who spends those 2 to 20 credits gets an equal per credit share of the rewards haha.
With the numbers of people playing would seem more fair lol.
Since the typical raffle has ~120 entries, your chances to win are 1/12+1/11+1/10. That's about 25%. That means your 500 Credits will most likely earn you about 6 wins if this keeps up.... how about no? The whole thing must be a bitch to manually move the rewards all the time.
Really, the raffle should be monthly or something. Quadruple the winnings just so that less work needs to be done.
... ... or just keep the rewards as is, since 30 bucks per week sounds rather rough. 30 bucks per month is still rather generous.
Seems I forgot to add sarcasm tags o.O cause someone gone full serious about my response.
<sarcasm>If things keep up as is, my 500 credits wont win me anything, and people with 3/4 wins will reach 10+ </sacrasm>
I'm sorry but that is not how the numbers work.....
It is a 10 in 120 chance, followed by a 10 in 119 chance, followed by a 10 in 118 chance....
Chance of winning is then 1 - chance of failing all 3 pulls with 10 tickets
or
1 - [ ( 110 / 120) * (109 / 119) * (108/118) ] which still equals about a 23% chance.... but your reason is wrong D:
.... I hope this is not how they are teaching math now a days because while this can be used for approximation, it is still wrong :C
Is this a Common Core thing? Because it seems like one of the shortcuts that they try to teach in common core that is making us in higher education cry
Flower Knight Commander | IGN: Ampchan | FKGID: 300316473 | Discord Name: Ampchan
Total Power: 658K | 41/52 Current Allies | Level 165 | FKG Discord Channel