benefit of the doubt = 10%
current maps = 4
current number of free girls = 15 (including event juliette and noemy)
current number of pachinko only girls = 5
...
projected maps >= 40
projected number of free girls >= 150
projected number of pachinko only girls >= 50
...
...
actually getting Halloween Juliette to drop from the boss = priceless
for everything else there's kobans