Thanks for your argumented post, Soviras. It's refreshing after Tanny's whining and sarcasm. Yet, I disagree with most of your points.

First, I didn't say that the game was reasonbly balanced. Heck, if the devs do a rebalance, it's exactly because they think it's not balanced enough.

Second, you failed to catch my argument. I didn't defend the idea that "people who don't like the system can't handle bad luck" and I don't know where you got this ridiculous idea. That doesn't even make sense! So, please be kind enough to highlight the sentences that made you feel as such
What I opposed to Tanny is that in a game of luck, no matter how good are the odds, you always have a chance to lose. Because luck. To put it another way: "people who can't handle bad luck shouldn't play game of chance".
Do I really have to go as far as to quote myself here?

Quote Originally Posted by Tristelune View Post
Tanny, you do realize that the drops are random? And that with randomness, there is never any guarantee?

I mean: if you play any random game, you must be prepare to the possibility of losing, however high are your chances to win.

Toss a 6 faces die 100 times: there is the possibility that you will never roll a 6...

You had bad luck this event, it sucks, but that's life, man, you cannot always have luck on your side. Most people learn to live with it though...

If you cannot deal with your lack of luck... Maybe play chess? (i'm not being sarcastic here, i mean my words).
Now, about the points you raise:

Your first point: I didn't attack Tanny on false assumptions about his age. Nor I treated him like a child because he disagreed with me. That would be stupid. For what I know, he might be older than me. What I highlight though is his obvious lack of maturity and childish behaviour. Hence the way I adressed him as a child in my late post.
Being sarcastic and/or offensive in most his post certainly don't pose him as a paragon of maturity and wisdom.
Again, do I have to quote?
Seriously, this game should be around protagonists fucking and not fucking players. Thanks.
Thanks for help! NOT.
I won't bother quoting the rest, it's all in the same spirit...
So, I don't know how you call it, but by my dictionnary, acting like he does just because he was unlucky: this is childish behaviour.

Your second point: why would I look at tower and contest to make an assumption on the amount of people that didn't drop any event girl? Please... That would be so stupid...
I simply calculated it using the best approximations and educated guesses we have.
Let me explain:
1) first we can assume Tanny is a dedicated player and he did an average of 50 battle per day (of course, maybe he did more). If he tried less, i'm of the opinion that he can only blame himself for not having tried enough. In any case, let's take our typical dedicated player that does 50 fight per day
2) we know that the event was 14 days
3) we know that the drop rate for event girl is x3
4) also, I know that the best guesses made by tens of players for about a year put the drop rate between 0.1 and 0.3%. My personal opinion lean toward 0.2%, which happen to be right in the middle.
=> that gives you 1.48% chance not to drop any event girl for the event duration. Pretty close to the 1.5% i mentionned, isn't it?
So, of course, we don't know the actual drop rate, but if you have better estimation, please let me know, i'll sincerely appreciate. Also, you can argue with the model I used but it's the best without knowing the drop rate. And for some reason, i'm fairly confident that my 1.48% is close enough to the real %.
Also, I'd like to add that, aside Tanny, I know of 3 dedicated players that didn't get any of the two droppable event girl. None of them made a ruckus like he did. They just soaked it up. I didn't see any other people voicing their frustration the way Tanny did on any of the forums or discords.

Your third point: well, you should update your informations. Because there ARE reasons to believe it's due soon. The beta started a bit more than a month now. Obviously the release of the rebalance is imminent, as Jessie hinted in her post above. I'd bet that it will be released before the next event

Your fourth point: I deliberately took a comparison that was of a very different magnitude. It's almost impossible NOT TO roll at least one 6 over a hundred die toss. Yet it's possible. The underlying point that I tried to make Tanny realize is that when you play a game of luck, no matter how good the odds, there is always a chance for you to lose. And only fools fails to acknowledge this truth.
In fact, it was not a comparison, it was an exaggerated situation to stress my point.

Your fifth point: I commend your knowledge of Buddhism (I didn't know of the origin text). But then I refer to your fourth point: the (not so) hidden truth under my tossing die was not that there is about 17% to roll a 6 (which is the understanding that Tanny had), but the fact that in game of luck, you can fail however high are your chances. By your definition, he failed to grasp the hidden truth, didn't he?
Maybe more importantly, we live in a world where there are more and more of these people who want everything right away and don't accept when something doesn't go their way. They then start whining and can't cope with what life give them.
As a person knowledgable in Buddhism, you probably know as well as I do (or even better) what buddhism has to say and teach to these people.

TL/DR: In a game of chance, one always has a chance to lose. Whining, crying, being sarcastic and offensive because one cannot cope with this reality is a sure sign of immaturity.

To conclude: I think Tanny should have kept his calm, voiced his opinion in a respectful way and maybe made a suggestion or 2 on how the devs could make the game better in regard of this matter (like Sniddy did few posts above).

Sorry for the long post.