Quote Originally Posted by wthvr View Post
this seems like the best analysis so far and therefore it is the most reliable in my eyes. other 'research' usually includes lucky streaks/high rolls where people did 5 rolls and got 2 girls etc. much lower sample size and heavily biased towards result oriented interpretation.
I would always believe high sample sizes much more, keep in mind that the 6.7% probably still are not representative as <100 rolls is still magnitudes below reliable data, but it hints towards droprates < 10% and therefore his conclusion to use kobans for 10x rolls only seems solid.
Obviously I'd prefer a larger sample size, but if I'm going to wish for a billion Kobans to do the experiment then I might as well just wish for the game source code

I can't be arsed working out the 95% confidence bounds based on the data I collected (far too long since I did any stats), but personally I'm very confident that the single-game girl drop rate is currently < 10%.

[/QUOTE](Given that he did not randomly came up with some numbers - but why should he?)[/QUOTE]

Lolz. Trolls gonna troll, but no I didn't just make this up, and yes I did spend 39960 Kobans (hentaiheroes.com, not nutaku) on 74 rolls.