Why are you saying that the Alexis Private Show will be repeated? Did I miss an announcement from the devs?
Anyway, even if AlexisPS comes around again, I have not seen them repeat an event without updating the prizes. My expectation is that new prizes would be added to keep veteran players engaged, like they did with GainsWeek.
Barring a THIRD farking round of changes to AlexisPS before it ends: If you're on Level20 on the last day, math says it will make sense to buy up to 5 refills (at 50 gems each) to earn the final prize. That last level gives you the equivalent of a 300 gem multiplier upgrade.
As you seem to have pointed out to yourself, the current event is a mess of changes and trying to plan too many days ahead is all too likely to become wasted effort.
I think your best bet is using as much energy as possible up to the last day, and then evaluating whether it's worth using gems to get one more prize. I would not burn gems on it before the final day, because you want as many battery capacity upgrades as you can get before you spend anything.





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