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  1. #21

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    think I miss something
    Nutaku: July 2016 | Flower Knight Girl: 835228859 | DMM: 646263953 飢えたハンター


    Plays Flower Knight Girl, Aigis, Kamihime
    Dropped Harem Heroes. Staff deleted my nice reason for not spending $.

    Signature made by Myrdin


  2. #22

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    Quote Originally Posted by HungryHunter View Post


    think I miss something
    What do you mean?
    Name: Volarmis
    DMM ID: 317568967

  3. #23

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    Race Day 9



    Di Yu - Compares the odds to the place the racer will take in the end. Triangle means a one place difference, circle means a two place difference, double circle means at least a three place difference.
    Green Bell - Correctly predicts the relative order of 3 racers.
    Nazuna - At least two out of the three racers she marks will be in the top 3.

    Di Yu's prediction:
    x100 - 3rd
    x50 - 4th
    x20 - 5th
    x10 - 1st
    x30 - 2nd, because x50 is 4th
    Green Bell predicts x10 to be before x30 and them both before x20, which matches Di Yu's prediction.
    Nazuna's mark on x10 and x30 matches her observed rules of prediction so far, x20 being the mark not in the top 3.

    It's a pretty clear situation where x10 should win.

    RESULTS: x10, x30, x100, x50, x20

    Another race where Di Yu says how it is.
    Last edited by Volarmis; 02-28-2019 at 01:37 AM.
    Name: Volarmis
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  4. #24

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  5. #25

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    Race Day 10



    Water Lily - Marks down the racers who's place and odds align.
    Colchicum - Picks out racers who will not be first.
    Nazuna - At least two out of the three racers she marks will be in the top 3.

    According to Water Lily, x100 will be 5th and x50 will be 4th. x10 won't be 1st.
    Colchicum marked x30 and x10, Since these will take the 2nd and 3rd place, her voting predictions need to be amended.
    Nazuna marked x30, x20 and x50. We know x30 will be 2nd or 3rd and we know x50 will be 4th, leaving x20 to win. So far her predicting habits check out.

    By process of elimination, x20 will be the winner this time around.

    RESULTS: x20, x30, x10, x50, x100
    Last edited by Volarmis; 02-28-2019 at 01:15 AM.
    Name: Volarmis
    DMM ID: 317568967

  6. #26

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    Race Day 11



    Violet Cress - Marks down the racers who are the most likely to take places 1 and 2.
    Di Yu - Compares the odds to the place the racer will take in the end. Triangle means a one place difference, circle means a two place difference, double circle means at least a three place difference.
    Nazuna - At least two out of the three racers she marks will be in the top 3.

    Violet Cress marks x50 and x100 to be in the top 2.
    Di Yu's predictions:
    x20 - 4th
    x30 - 5th, since this racer can't be in the top 2
    x10 - 3rd
    x50 - 1st
    x100 - 2nd, since x50 is 1st
    Nazuna marked x20, x10 and x50. According to the previous predictions, x10 and x50 are in the top 3, so the observation checks out so far.

    x50 is the favorite to win this time.

    RESULTS: x50, x100, x10, x20, x30
    Last edited by Volarmis; 03-01-2019 at 03:34 AM.
    Name: Volarmis
    DMM ID: 317568967

  7. #27

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    Race Day 12



    Karin - She either marks the top 3 places (the previous case) or she marks 3 racers out of the top 4.
    Lobelia - Puts a whip mark on the racers who will take the two last places.
    Nazuna - At least two out of the three racers she marks will be in the top 3.

    Karin and Lobelia's predictions are mutually exclusive - x100, x20 and x10 will be in the top 3, while x30 and x50 will be in the last two places.
    Nazuna marked the same racers as Karin, so no help here.

    x100, x20 and x10 all have the same chance to win this race. x50 won the previous one, so no rule of exclusion this time around.

    RESULTS: x100, x10, x20, x50, x30

    This time Nazuna was pretty spot on.
    Last edited by Volarmis; 03-02-2019 at 12:54 AM.
    Name: Volarmis
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  8. #28

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    Race Day 13



    Di Yu - Compares the odds to the place the racer will take in the end. Triangle means a one place difference, circle means a two place difference, double circle means at least a three place difference.
    Water Lily - Marks down the racers who's place and odds align.
    Nazuna - At least two out of the three racers she marks will be in the top 3.

    According to Di Yu:
    x50 - 3rd, since x100 is 5th
    x10 - 2nd
    x20 - 4th
    x30 - 1st, since x100 is 5th
    x100 - 5th
    Water Lily marked x100 as 5th, which coincides with Di Yu's prediction. x10 will not be first.
    Nazuna marked x10, x100 and x30. x30 and x10 are in the top 3, so it checks out.

    It's pretty safe to say x30 will win.

    RESULTS: x30, x10, x50, x20, x100
    Last edited by Volarmis; 03-03-2019 at 02:11 AM.
    Name: Volarmis
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  9. #29

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    Missed a few days coz I had Nutaku

    Wait just 1 day?

    edit


    fuk,d idnt men to vote 300

    lpl don't need stam pt anymare
    Last edited by AgentFakku; 03-02-2019 at 10:49 AM.

  10. #30

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    Race Day 14



    Violet Cress - Marks down the racers who are the most likely to take places 1 and 2.
    Colchicum - Picks out racers who will not be first.
    Nazuna - At least two out of the three racers she marks will be in the top 3.

    Violet Cress marked x30 and x50 so one of them will win.
    Colchicum marked x20 and x50, so it matches Violet Cress in that none of them will take the top.
    Nazuna marked x10, x50 and x20, possibly making x50 a bit more probable to win over x30.

    x50 and x30 should be taking the rest of our votes.

    RESULTS:x50, x30, <the rest>

    The event page is gone, so I can't say what was the exact order.
    Anywho, I find the swanboat races fun because they have a logic puzzle element to them and I hope there would be more events with elements like this.
    Last edited by Volarmis; 03-04-2019 at 10:46 AM.
    Name: Volarmis
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