Thread: [EVENT 106] Turning the Tables! The Great Gamble on the Water (2/18/2019 to 3/4/2019)

missed out 2 days?

Swan Betting Race

I guess I post a link. No link found

Ladies

Green Bell - Makes solid predictions (double circle > circle > triangle).
Colchicum - Tends to pick out racers who won't do so good.
Nazuna - Sometimes predicts correctly, sometimes not.

The first race seems straightforward.
Green Bell predicts that x20 racer will win, followed by x10, then by x30.
Colchicum marked down x30 and x100 as the ones that won't do so hot, so x20 is still a good pick.
Nazuna predicts x50, then x20, then x30. Since her predictions can be true sometimes, x50 as a backup may be a good choice.

The voters seem to think alike, based on the bets so far.


RESULTS: x20, x50, x10, x30, x100

It seems Green Bell actually predicts the relative order of 3 random racers based on the results.

Di Yu - Compares the odds to the place the racer will take in the end. Triangle means a one place difference, circle means a two place difference, double circle means a three place difference (or more if the wiki is to be trusted, but I'm not sure that's logically possible).
Lobelia - Puts a whip mark on the racers that will be in the lower places.
Nazuna - Sometimes predicts correctly, sometimes not.

According to Di Yu's marks the places will look something like this:
x100 - 2nd
x30 - 1st or 5th
x10 - 4th
x50 - 3rd or 5th
x20 - 1st or 3rd
Lobelia predicts that x10 and x50 will have low places, which checks out.
Nazuna marked x30, then x100, then x50 and she has a chance to be right this time around, taking into account the previous predictions.

All in all, I think x30 has the highest chance to win, followed by x20 as a backup.


RESULTS: x30, x100, x20, x10, x50

Leave it to Di Yu to get things right.

Thank you for the analysis Volarmis . As for the new girls...

Eugh, that new rainbow looks like the youngest I've seen from this game. Straight up 4 year old, maybe younger lol...
The other two are great though, especially Angelica. Fairly large breasted angel with golden eyes - perfect to me. I'd roll gacha for her, but I wanna save my Flower Gems for a six star I may want really badly in the future.

can't remember who I betted on LOL

think I didn't bet on green haired chan

oh well

Originally Posted by Myers

Thank you for the analysis Volarmis . As for the new girls...

I'd roll gacha for her, but I wanna save my Flower Gems for a six star I may want really badly in the future.

same, went all out to get Geraniumbooby twice

Violet Cress - Marks down the racers who are the most likely to take places 1 and 2.
Water Lily - Marks down the racers who's place and odds align.
Nazuna - Sometimes predicts correctly, sometimes not.

Seems to be another straightforward one.
Violet Cress says that x10 and x50 will both have a place in the top 2.
Water Lily says that x10 will take the 1st place and x30 will take the 3rd place.
Nazuna left her marks on x50, then x10, then x100 - she did chose x10 as one of the options but since she can be wrong, Water Lily's prediction is more credible.

I'd be surprised if anyone else than x10 wins this one. For those who are still unsure, bet also on x50 but I doubt that will be 1st place.


RESULTS: x10, x50, x30, x100, x20

Pretty much spot on.

Missed a few days coz I had Nutaku

Wait just 1 day?

edit


fuk,d idnt men to vote 300

lpl don't need stam pt anymare

Violet Cress - Marks down the racers who are the most likely to take places 1 and 2.
Colchicum - Picks out racers who will not be first.
Nazuna - At least two out of the three racers she marks will be in the top 3.

->Open Spoiler<-

Violet Cress marked x30 and x50 so one of them will win.
Colchicum marked x20 and x50, so it matches Violet Cress in that none of them will take the top.
Nazuna marked x10, x50 and x20, possibly making x50 a bit more probable to win over x30.

x50 and x30 should be taking the rest of our votes.

RESULTS:x50, x30, <the rest>

The event page is gone, so I can't say what was the exact order.
Anywho, I find the swanboat races fun because they have a logic puzzle element to them and I hope there would be more events with elements like this.

I think I did da last one

it was da pirate twoesome

I jump from 41K to 56K or something

didn't play too much

clean out ampy and equip

leftover went to LC first and then gold, I don't really need gold

For LC I recommend running the LC maps whenever they are in discount. You get 4 LC minimum for the higher level ones. Plus of course if you didnt clear it before, you get bunch of extras for 3 starring the map.
About a month ago, I had like 1500 LC left. And then I starter running these > just 3* them, not even like grinding the same thing over and over. With all the extras for map completion I am sitting somewhere around 6500 right now. A good use of those stamina pots if you want those goodies from the LC shop.