Quote Originally Posted by Nero010 View Post
To actualy give avarage percantages you need to be able to reproduce your results as many times as possible to then make an avarage out of your results. If u draw 3 plats u have 3 results and can only make an avarage out of 3 results which is a failure gap thats ways too big. Its not about how many draws u did, its about how many results you got out of these draws. Even the 13 golds are not enough to give an actualy very accurate percantage (but good enough as it seems). They would need to do 1.000.000 summons to give a actual good avarage of plats, not to speak of blacks. And that might not even be enough.
Also i wouldnt wonder at all if the implemented numbers of chances on daily summon didnt get changed since realese of the game at all. And since Nutaku and DMM Aigis both started the same in term of numbers i wouldnt think theres a difference between versions either, unless DMM changed it recently (which wouldnt matter as the results are older).
Without hard numbers taken from the code, we'll never have anything but a sample to draw inferences from, regardless of the size. You could argue that even in 1M summons, we might never get a black. Does that mean the chance is 0? Nope, some people have done it apparently (scary good luck, I know). 25k summons is a decent sample size to get a good estimate of the actual chances. Going up to 1M summons for the sake of increased accuracy when ultimately EVERYONE knows "the odds of a black are ridiculously low, don't ever do base summon expecting, or even hoping, for a black. Even platinum is a ridiculous long shot" is kind of wasted effort. The highest unit type people do base summons expecting to get without 1k+ summons is a silver, which is roughly 2-3%