- FKG
- Di Yu (Oddsmaker)
Di Yu’s predictions can be a little hard to understand at first, but she is one of the most useful oddsmakers there is when it comes to accurately predicting where in the results order a particular boat is likely to finish.
Rather than offering a prediction on who will finish first, second and third, Di Yu predicts the difference between each boat’s position in the odds order and their position in the results order. She is perfectly accurate in her predictions.
When reading her predictions, the marks she makes on a boat should be interpreted as follows:
Rather than offering a prediction on who will finish first, second and third, Di Yu predicts the difference between each boat’s position in the odds order and their position in the results order. She is perfectly accurate in her predictions.
When reading her predictions, the marks she makes on a boat should be interpreted as follows:
| Icon | Meaning |
|---|---|
 | The difference between the boat’s position in the odds order and their position in the results order is three or more. |
 | The difference between the boat’s position in the odds order and their position in the results order is exactly two. |
 | The difference between the boat’s position in the odds order and their position in the results order is exactly one. |
| There is no difference between the boat’s position in the odds order and their position in the results order. |
❀ Example
Here is an example of how to read Di Yu’s predictions taken from an actual event in the game.
The predictions board for the race in question can be seen to the right, with Di Yu’s predictions highlighted for ease of reading. From this, you can deduce the following:
For First Winter Sword, she is predicting a difference between their position in the odds order and their position in the results order of exactly one. Since they are first in the odds order, this means that they will finish second in the results order.
For Menou Mayday, she is predicting a difference between their position in the odds order and their position in the results order of exactly one. Since they are second in the odds order, this means that they will finish either first or third in the results order.
For Theater Kubotan, she is predicting a difference between their position in the odds order and their position in the results order of exactly two. Since they are third in the odds order, this means that they will finish either first or fifth in the results order.
For Doggy Wood, she is predicting a difference between their position in the odds order and their position in the results order of exactly one. Since they are fourth in the odds order, this means that they will finish either third or fifth in the results order.
For Will o’ the Wisp Mantis, she is predicting a difference between their position in the odds order and their position in the results order of exactly one. Since they are fifth in the odds order, this means that they will finish fourth in the results order.
Taking these together, you get the following possibilities for the results order:
As you can see, this does not give a definitive answer on who you should bet on to win. In fact, it only provides exact answers for who will finish second and fourth. You also cannot use a simple process of elimination in order to determine the final results order for the remaining three boats.
However, if you take a look at the other oddsmakers making predictions, you can use them to help. In this case, Dusty Miller is predicting Menou Monday to place first in the results order, and she is perfectly accurate on that prediction (see the explanation of her predictions).
Since you now know that Menou Monday will finish first in the results order, that means that by process of elimination Doggy Wood will finish third and Theater Kubotan will finish fifth, giving a final solution on the results order for the race.
For First Winter Sword, she is predicting a difference between their position in the odds order and their position in the results order of exactly one. Since they are first in the odds order, this means that they will finish second in the results order.
For Menou Mayday, she is predicting a difference between their position in the odds order and their position in the results order of exactly one. Since they are second in the odds order, this means that they will finish either first or third in the results order.
For Theater Kubotan, she is predicting a difference between their position in the odds order and their position in the results order of exactly two. Since they are third in the odds order, this means that they will finish either first or fifth in the results order.
For Doggy Wood, she is predicting a difference between their position in the odds order and their position in the results order of exactly one. Since they are fourth in the odds order, this means that they will finish either third or fifth in the results order.
For Will o’ the Wisp Mantis, she is predicting a difference between their position in the odds order and their position in the results order of exactly one. Since they are fifth in the odds order, this means that they will finish fourth in the results order.
Taking these together, you get the following possibilities for the results order:
| 1 | Menou Mayday or Theater Kubotan |
|---|---|
| 2 | First Winter Sword |
| 3 | Menou Mayday or Doggy Wood |
| 4 | Will o’ the Wisp Mantis |
| 5 | Theater Kubotan or Doggy Wood |
As you can see, this does not give a definitive answer on who you should bet on to win. In fact, it only provides exact answers for who will finish second and fourth. You also cannot use a simple process of elimination in order to determine the final results order for the remaining three boats.
However, if you take a look at the other oddsmakers making predictions, you can use them to help. In this case, Dusty Miller is predicting Menou Monday to place first in the results order, and she is perfectly accurate on that prediction (see the explanation of her predictions).
Since you now know that Menou Monday will finish first in the results order, that means that by process of elimination Doggy Wood will finish third and Theater Kubotan will finish fifth, giving a final solution on the results order for the race.
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