Quote Originally Posted by Gludateton View Post
First conclusions:
That's why I am not that fond of averages in many cases. While Slashley's calc is probably done right (didn't check all formulas, but I believe it's right), seeing just final result is not really reliable.--
Yes, there are certainly problems with averages. For example, the average human has one testicle and one ovary. Does such a person exist? No. And neither does the average turn.

That said, your way to calculate the probability is interesting, and certainly more effective. Just... more of a pain in the ass to do.

Also, I do remember you said using the +burst as correction, but seeing it in action is also quite interesting.