Originally Posted by Mindrunner

And how many FKG players will do exactly that? Right...

A lot?

I feel like you're either overestimating the number of whales, or underestimating the number of sensible spenders.

This is hardly the first gacha where going part-way was the better deal as opposed to going all the way.

Originally Posted by Mindrunner

But they will get lured to step 3 & 4 if their 10+1 pulls are shitty. And those guarantee that you'll get atleast 1 5 star and 1 6 star...

Except no?

That's heavy gambler's fallacy speaking.

As far as getting good value out of your spending, then objectively speaking, steps 1 and 2 are a bargain simply because a normal 11-pull would run you ~$50 vs. $3/$5.

Anyone who wanted to roll would obviously jump on that. If they get burned by it, they obviously don't lose as much money, so they'll shrug and call it a day.

If they were shooting for better results, they would've jumped on the previous deal, or wait for one where they could pick their own gold.

Even previous step-up gachas had $10 steps for a guaranteed gold, not $20. It makes more sense to wait for those.

Again, I'm thinking you're overestimating how impulsive some people are, or generalizing the whale population as "anyone who spends, period".

I mean, fuck, if I got bad NG rolls, I'd sooner use my FGs than spend more cash.