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  1. #1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Salt Demon View Post
    Your chance to get a rainbow in an 11 pull is 5.231%

    Your chance to get more than one rainbow in an 11 pull is 0.133436%

    Every two weeks we get approximately 20 flower gems through events, and may average 25 including login and other means.
    There are 52 weeks in a year. It take roughly four weeks to get fifty flower gems after you've burned you quests as a source.
    So you may average 13 priority pulls a year.
    You have roughly a 50% chance to pull one or more rainbow fkg in a year. (36% for one, 15% chance for more than one.)

    It will take a Nutaku player about 167 years to get one of every existing rainbow, assuming no repeat pulls.

    Gaze into the Abyss.
    hello darkness my old friend...

  2. #2

    Join Date
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    Found this, the best ever 50FG pull

    Hall of Legend Pulls-omg.jpg

  3. #3

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    That....... is actually not something that should happen often at all. The Statistical chance of that happening is only 0.68% (I didn't forget to to multiply by 100 just so you know, the chance really is less than 1%).
    Flower Knight Girl: 255445855

  4. #4

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    Quote Originally Posted by sniddy View Post
    Found this, the best ever 50FG pull

    Hall of Legend Pulls-omg.jpg
    If Zandel says it's rare and I'm not a math person, LOL okay I add it.

    I was looking if you had more than 2 dupe bronze gurls of the same name
    Nutaku: July 2016 | Flower Knight Girl: 835228859 | DMM: 646263953 飢えたハンター


    Plays Flower Knight Girl, Aigis, Kamihime
    Dropped Harem Heroes. Staff deleted my nice reason for not spending $.

    Signature made by Myrdin

  5. #5

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    Quote Originally Posted by HungryHunter View Post
    If Zandel says it's rare and I'm not a math person, LOL okay I add it.

    I was looking if you had more than 2 dupe bronze gurls of the same name
    Zandel is right about the math; for anyone curious about probability calculations, it goes like this:

    The overall probability of an independent event over a number of trials is equal to A^B where A is the probability of the event and B is the number of trials.

    The chance of rolling a 3* once is 63.5%. Over 11 rolls, the overall probability of getting -only- 3* is: .635^11 which gives 0.68%. It is indeed rare, though it is still more likely to roll all 3* than it is to separately roll a single 6*.

    The chance of rolling what we typically refer to as salt though, consisting of only 3-4* is MUCH higher: the chance of rolling a 3-4* once is 93.5% and over 11 rolls, the overall chance of rolling nothing but 3-4* is .935^11 = 48%; almost a 1 in 2 chance of wasting 50FGs.

    The overall odds of pulling a single 6* in a 50FG pull? 1-(.995^11) = 1-(.95) = 5%.
    Last edited by Taon; 03-13-2018 at 12:03 AM.

  6. #6

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    So essentially, they were lucky in the worst possible way. XD
    Flower Knight Girl



    Username: MachThreeSlug
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  7. #7

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    Quote Originally Posted by sniddy View Post
    Found this, the best ever 50FG pull

    Hall of Legend Pulls-omg.jpg
    What do you want me to call yours?

    Raspberry Award or something?
    Nutaku: July 2016 | Flower Knight Girl: 835228859 | DMM: 646263953 飢えたハンター


    Plays Flower Knight Girl, Aigis, Kamihime
    Dropped Harem Heroes. Staff deleted my nice reason for not spending $.

    Signature made by Myrdin

  8. #8

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    It's legendary - just legendarily bad

  9. #9

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    Not quite up to some of the pulls on the first page, but this was the best roll I've personally gotten:

    Hall of Legend Pulls-nice-roll.jpg

  10. #10

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    4 new loli's! gratz to you my man. She is also one of the better AoE rainbow's around right now as well.
    Flower Knight Girl: 255445855

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