Originally Posted by
JSensei
So far, according to the sheet, only one person has gotten an SR card on an R-Gacha. Clearly, I know that it's possible. But I can't accurately estimate the drop rate until there are at LEAST 3 drops. When I last ran the statistics, there were 99 single R-gacha entries and no SR drops. I'm not sure how many single R-Gacha entries there are now, but I'm pretty confident in my assumption that the drop rate is no higher than 1%. My suspicion is that it's lower, but until I get enough data to get a trend, I can't tell if the actual rate is typically higher (therefore it was unusual to go so long without an SR-Girl) or if the rate is lower, meaning that someone got lucky. After I get 3 or so drops, I can start approximating the true rate.
Thanks largely to EA, there are enough entries that show that the drop rate is approximately 1 in 30 for 3x R-Gacha. As we get more entries, the assumed drop rate of ~1 in 30 gets stronger.
So keep that data coming. We'll figure this thing out together.